Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006247 0.007257 0.008448 0.009973 0.011903 0.014304 0.017579
2025-04-13 0.004967 0.006207 0.007830 0.010179 0.013614 0.018674 0.027173
2025-04-20 0.004362 0.005732 0.007664 0.010727 0.015756 0.024334 0.041926
2025-04-27 0.003908 0.005331 0.007457 0.011081 0.017635 0.030388 0.062273
2025-05-04 0.003496 0.004904 0.007101 0.011064 0.018823 0.035746 0.086883
2025-05-11 0.003173 0.004557 0.006795 0.011036 0.019955 0.041638 0.121517
2025-05-18 0.002873 0.004200 0.006409 0.010761 0.020466 0.046374 0.161539
2025-05-25 0.002589 0.003836 0.005954 0.010253 0.020285 0.049170 0.200669
2025-06-01 0.002370 0.003555 0.005610 0.009900 0.020368 0.052923 0.258143
2025-06-08 0.002255 0.003439 0.005546 0.010118 0.021981 0.063226 0.413813
2025-06-15 0.002116 0.003265 0.005350 0.010007 0.022677 0.070867 0.611262
2025-06-22 0.001950 0.003031 0.005014 0.009521 0.022140 0.072939 0.765972
2025-06-29 0.001817 0.002855 0.004795 0.009326 0.022626 0.081567 1.257741
2025-07-06 0.001734 0.002765 0.004740 0.009526 0.024533 0.101184 3.255665
2025-07-13 0.001686 0.002734 0.004798 0.010027 0.027791 0.137249 21.707189
2025-07-20 0.001626 0.002674 0.004788 0.010350 0.030641 0.180742 4930.727563
2025-07-27 0.001547 0.002569 0.004666 0.010334 0.032146 0.219104 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001474 0.002471 0.004548 0.010309 0.033649 0.266746 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001394 0.002351 0.004366 0.010058 0.033979 0.302295 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001306 0.002211 0.004128 0.009595 0.033046 0.314597 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001235 0.002100 0.003944 0.009272 0.032734 0.340963 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001201 0.002061 0.003927 0.009471 0.035413 0.461906 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001151 0.001988 0.003822 0.009370 0.036359 0.555915 NaN